Will Uniswap Bears Seize Control as Bulls Defend $4 Support Level?
The bearish pressure on Uniswap (UNI) is growing as the bulls fiercely defend the $4 price support level. While UNI made a solid start to September, critical on-chain metrics suggest that the bulls may soon run out of steam.
Uniswap Holders Accumulate in Exchange Wallets
Uniswap price has gained 7.14% in the first week of September, but there is a risk of a massive sell-wall approaching. According to CryptoQuant data, Uniswap bears have been depositing tokens to their exchange wallets since the altcoin market crash on August 17.
The chart reveals that UNI Exchange Reserves have rapidly increased from 43.97 million tokens on August 17 to 47.4 million UNI on September 7, the highest ever since Uniswap’s launch in 2018. This indicates that holders may be looking to sell or swap for other assets in the short term.
Since the Exchange Reserves started rising, the UNI price has dipped by 29%. If the bulls do not strengthen their position, further sell-pressure could lead to another price correction.
Flat Market Demand and Intensifying Bearish Headwinds
Uniswap has struggled to attract network demand in recent weeks, despite steady market performances driven by price speculators. According to Santiment, the last time Uniswap had up to 1,200 active users was around July 31.
The daily network activity rate has gradually declined since then, with a peak of 805 addresses on August 31 and a low of 502 on September 3. Higher user participation typically indicates greater demand for the UNI token.
If Uniswap fails to see a significant increase in network demand while Exchange reserves reach an all-time high, the risk of bearish control grows.
UNI Price Prediction: Bears Eyeing $3
From an on-chain perspective, the mounting Exchange Reserves may trigger a significant price reversal towards the $3 range.
The In/Out of Money Around Price data supports this prediction, showing that bears will face challenges around the $3.75 territory. However, if they defend their positions, a rebound could occur.
On the other hand, if bearish holders continue to exert sell pressure, the price could drop below $3. Conversely, the bulls could regain control and defy the negative prediction by reclaiming $6.
While it is unlikely under the current on-chain circumstances, the UNI price could eventually reach $6 if the resistance level at $4.60 does not hold.
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