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Dominance of Put Calls in Bitcoin Options Data Indicates Weakness

Dominance of Put Calls in Bitcoin Options Data Indicates Weakness

Bitcoin Options Data and Price Analysis

The Bitcoin price has dropped below the crucial support level of $27,000 and is currently hovering around $26,700. Traders are closely monitoring the market for any signs of volatility ahead of the Friday’s expiry. Around 24,000 BTC options are nearing their expiration, with a Put Call Ratio of 1.23, a maximum pain point at $27,000, and a notional value of $640 million. Additionally, approximately 190,000 ETH options are also close to expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.71, a maximum pain level of $1,600, and a notional value of $290 million.

Bitcoin remains the dominant player in the market, experiencing a significant surge in weekly positions for BTC options. Interestingly, BTC Put positions account for 60% of the total, which is an unusual occurrence. On the other hand, Ethereum seems to be lagging behind.

Despite the volatility in the market, implied volatilities across different terms have reached all-time lows, indicating no clear signs of an imminent rebound. Liquidity has also been decreasing recently, suggesting a significant market event on the horizon.

Investors should exercise caution as the increasing volume of outstanding Bitcoin futures and options contracts may be contributing to the cryptocurrency’s sluggish performance this month. When Bitcoin’s open interest exceeds $7 billion, it typically signifies heightened greed among investors. Currently, it stands at $6.19 billion.

Bitcoin’s price action shows that it is range-bound between $25,000 and $32,000 and struggles to surpass the 200-day simple moving average on the daily chart. It is currently testing the 50-day simple moving average around $26,500. If it drops below this level, there is support down to $25,000.

To initiate a rally towards the resistance level at $32,000, Bitcoin needs to convincingly break through the 200-day simple moving average at $28,000. Some market analysts believe that the Bitcoin price could retrace to $20,000 before starting its next bull run around or after the Bitcoin halving in 2024. However, progress in the development of a Bitcoin ETF could potentially prevent this price fall.

In conclusion, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant options expiration and low volatility. Bitcoin’s price is range-bound, and investors should be cautious about the increasing volume of outstanding contracts. Breaking through key resistance levels will be crucial for Bitcoin’s price movement in the near future.

Hot Take: Will Bitcoin Break Out of Its Range-Bound Movement Soon?

The Bitcoin price has been stuck in a range-bound movement between $25,000 and $32,000 for some time now. Traders and investors are eagerly waiting for a breakout in either direction. The crucial support level at $27,000 has been breached, but it remains to be seen if Bitcoin can gather enough momentum to break through resistance levels.

With options expiring soon and low volatility in the market, there is a possibility of a significant market event on the horizon. The performance of Bitcoin’s price will depend on various factors such as investor sentiment, liquidity, and developments in the cryptocurrency space.

As we approach the Bitcoin halving in 2024, some analysts predict a retracement to $20,000 before another bull run begins. However, progress in the development of a Bitcoin ETF could potentially prevent such a decline.

In conclusion, it’s an exciting time for Bitcoin as traders closely monitor its price action and look for signs of a breakout from its current range-bound movement. Stay tuned for further developments in the cryptocurrency market.

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Dominance of Put Calls in Bitcoin Options Data Indicates Weakness