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Bitcoin futures and implied volatility surge ahead of SEC's ETF deadline

Bitcoin futures and implied volatility surge ahead of SEC’s ETF deadline

Bitcoin ETF Approval Anticipated as Market Sentiment Rises

A strong market sentiment is expecting the approval of the Bitcoin Spot ETF, as indicated by Bitcoin’s price surge to short-term highs of $45,000, according to analysis from GreeksLive. The options market’s increasing implied volatility (IV) further supports this expectation. The IV for the at-the-money (ATM) option expiring on Jan. 12 has reached 110%, while the IV for the 11th has surpassed 120%. This significant rise in IV, following recent deliveries, highlights the heightened anticipation in the market.

Growing Expectation of Volatility in Bitcoin Market

The nearly 20% increase in implied volatility (IV) after recent deliveries suggests a growing expectation of volatility in the Bitcoin market. This rise in IV is likely influenced by new information or developments that have caused traders to adjust their estimates of future price movements. The surge in implied volatility reflects the market’s anticipation and uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Bitcoin Spot ETF review.

FOMO Sentiment Strong in U.S. and European Markets

Investors in U.S. and European markets are exhibiting a notable fear of missing out sentiment as they speculate on the imminent approval of the spot Bitcoin ETF. This indicates a high level of interest and excitement among investors regarding the potential breakthrough that the ETF approval could bring.

SEC Decision Awaited with Anticipation

All ETF applications have been submitted to the SEC, with only HashDex remaining pending for a last-minute filing. Notable issuers such as Grayscale, ARK 21Shares, Blackrock, BitWise, VanEck, WisdomTree, Invesco, Fidelity, and Valkyrie have completed their submissions. Investors and analysts eagerly await the SEC’s decision, as it could have a significant impact on the market.

Hot Take: Bitcoin ETF Approval Could Catapult Market to New Heights

The potential approval of the Bitcoin Spot ETF has generated immense excitement and anticipation in the crypto market. If approved, it could open up new opportunities for investors and further legitimize Bitcoin as an investment asset. The surge in Bitcoin’s price and the increasing implied volatility reflect the market’s confidence in the ETF’s approval. However, until the SEC makes its decision, there will remain a level of uncertainty. Regardless of the outcome, the mere possibility of a Bitcoin ETF has already had a profound impact on market sentiment and is likely to shape the future of cryptocurrency investments.

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Bitcoin futures and implied volatility surge ahead of SEC's ETF deadline