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Predicting the Peak of the Bitcoin Bull Run Based on Historical Patterns

Predicting the Peak of the Bitcoin Bull Run Based on Historical Patterns

When Will the Next Bitcoin Bull Run Peak Arrive?

An analyst has provided insights into when the next peak of the Bitcoin bull run might occur, based on patterns observed in previous cycles. By comparing the last two bull runs with the current cycle, the analyst suggests that if the current cycle follows a similar pattern, it could take around 600 days before reaching the same point as previous tops. This projection indicates that the next market peak for Bitcoin could be around October 2025, providing approximately 600 days of bullish momentum ahead.

BTC Faces Risk of Slipping Below Historical Line

While Bitcoin has a positive long-term outlook, its short-term price trend has been challenging for investors. Following approval of spot ETFs by the US SEC, the cryptocurrency experienced a notable drawdown and briefly dipped below $38,500. Although it has since recovered to trade around $40,000, there is a risk of slipping below a historical line known as the “realized price.” If Bitcoin falls below this line, short-term holders who purchased coins within the last 155 days may find themselves underwater and may be inclined to sell in order to minimize losses.

Hot Take: Bitcoin’s Bull Run Peak and Short-Term Holder Concerns

Analyst Ali suggests that based on past patterns, Bitcoin’s next bull run peak could potentially occur around October 2025, providing over 600 days of bullish momentum. However, in the short term, Bitcoin faces a risk of slipping below a historical line known as the “realized price.” If this occurs, short-term holders who acquired coins within the last 155 days may experience losses and panic selling could ensue. It remains to be seen how these factors will impact Bitcoin’s future performance and investor sentiment.

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Predicting the Peak of the Bitcoin Bull Run Based on Historical Patterns