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Bitcoin's Historical Pattern Suggests 50% Probability of Hitting $100K by August, Setting New All-Time High

Bitcoin’s Historical Pattern Suggests 50% Probability of Hitting $100K by August, Setting New All-Time High

Bitcoin Surges to 26-Month High, Reaching $52,000

Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, has reached a 26-month high of $52,000, sparking predictions of surpassing its previous all-time high of $69,000. This surge in price is fueled by bullish sentiments and the recent approval of Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Market Expert Predicts a Major Breakout for Bitcoin

Timothy Peterson, an investment manager and market expert, believes that Bitcoin is poised for a major breakout. He points out that Bitcoin has achieved a nearly 100% gain in 180 days, a pattern that has occurred 41 times since 2015. In 78% of these instances, Bitcoin went on to reach even higher price levels. Based on historical data, Peterson predicts a 50% chance of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by August.

Pre-Halving Correction Expected

As the upcoming halving event approaches in April, there may be a pre-halving correction before the bull run resumes. This is a crucial moment for investors. Historical patterns show that retracements tend to occur only a few weeks before the actual halving event. Based on past halvings, a retracement of around 27% is possible in the current market scenario.

Key Resistance at $52,000

The current trading level of $52,100 is considered a critical juncture for Bitcoin’s trajectory. It has historically acted as a strong resistance point on the weekly chart. If this level is successfully breached, it could trigger a surge of buying pressure and potentially lead to a Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) scenario among investors.

Hot Take: Uncertain Future for Bitcoin’s Price

The future of Bitcoin’s price remains uncertain. While there is potential for the price to continue its upward trajectory and surpass its previous all-time high, a pre-halving correction may occur. Investors are left to ponder whether to accumulate the cryptocurrency at the current level or wait for a potential dip before the next phase of the halving event.

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Bitcoin's Historical Pattern Suggests 50% Probability of Hitting $100K by August, Setting New All-Time High