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Investments in the U.S. are already being made by Chinese companies, anticipating Trump tariffs. 😉

Investments in the U.S. are already being made by Chinese companies, anticipating Trump tariffs. 😉

Are Chinese Companies Increasing their U.S. Investments?

As tensions rise between the U.S. and China, Chinese companies are turning to overseas investments as a safe bet regardless of the outcome of the White House elections. Recent public filings from mainland China-listed companies suggest that some are already making moves to invest in the U.S. Amid speculation about Vice President Kamala Harris’ China policy and potential further tariffs under former President Donald Trump, the landscape for foreign direct investment is evolving. BCA Research suggests that Trump may use tariffs as leverage to push China towards investing more in the U.S. This shift in strategy could have significant implications for both countries.

Chinese Companies Invest in the U.S.

Recent filings from several Chinese companies indicate a growing interest in establishing a presence in the U.S. market. These investments span a range of industries, from automotive to furniture, highlighting the diverse opportunities that American businesses offer. Here are some key examples of Chinese companies expanding their footprint in the U.S. market:

  • Vital New Material
    • Established a U.S. subsidiary in Austin, Texas, focused on research, development, and sales of soldering materials.
  • Shandong Yuma Sunshade
    • Invested in building a warehouse in Texas through its U.S. subsidiary, "Yuma Texas."
  • Xinquan Automotive Trim
    • Invested in Xinquan America Holdings for the production and sale of auto parts through a Singapore subsidiary.
  • Yotrio
    • Established a U.S.-based company, Remode Living, for selling outdoor furniture.
  • Hanbell
    • Setting up a subsidiary in Georgia for selling vacuum pump products in the U.S.

These examples illustrate a broader trend of Chinese companies seeking to establish a foothold in the U.S. market through strategic investments and business expansions.

Increasing Overseas Investments

The trend of Chinese companies expanding their overseas investments has been gaining momentum, particularly in light of the economic challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Companies are looking beyond domestic markets to drive growth and diversify their portfolios. In Europe and Southeast Asia, Chinese electric car manufacturers are setting up factories in response to increased tariffs on imports. This trend reflects a broader shift towards global expansion and market diversification.

  • Survey Findings
    • The China General Chamber of Commerce in the U.S. found that 30% of Chinese companies plan to increase investment, while nearly 60% aim to maintain stable investment levels.
  • Oxford Economics Report
    • Chinese outbound investment in 2023 has increased significantly, with a focus on manufacturing industries.
  • ASEAN Strategy
    • Chinese companies are actively expanding in ASEAN countries while maintaining their presence in Western markets, indicating a strategic shift in their international business operations.

Future Outlook

As the U.S. presidential election approaches, the landscape for foreign investments is likely to evolve further. The outcome of the election will shape the future of U.S.-China relations and impact the investment decisions of Chinese companies. It remains to be seen how the new administration will navigate these dynamics and what implications it will have for global trade and investment patterns.

Rising U.S.-China tensions have sent Chinese companies the signal that regardless of who wins the White House, overseas investment is the way to go. Public filings of mainland China-listed companies from the last several weeks indicate a few are already putting money into the U.S. As markets await more details on Vice President Kamala Harris’ China policy, Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump has indicated the likelihood of further tariffs. In the view of BCA Research, Trump would use tariffs on China to reach a deal — including “inducing Beijing to surge (foreign direct investment) into the U.S.,” chief strategist Marko Papic and a team said in an Aug. 15 report. They cited Trump’s limited mention of tariffs during his speech accepting the Republican nomination in July. “The way they will sell their product in America is to BUILD it in America, and ONLY in America. This will create massive jobs and wealth for our country,” Trump said, according to an NBC News transcript. BCA said Trump has been making the same point during his campaigning in the last six months. “Trump has been saying it loud and clear – to anyone who wants to hear – that he intends to force China to build factories in the US and employ Americans,” the report said. The analysts pointed out that in the 1980s, U.S. trade tensions with Japan were not resolved with tariffs, but with some trade restrictions and increased direct investment in the U.S. Shenzhen-listed Vital New Material said in a filing Thursday it had finished registering its U.S. subsidiary in Austin, Texas. Vital New Material (USA) LLC has registered capital of $2 million and will be engaged in the research and development, as well as sales, of soldering materials, the filing said. Shandong Yuma Sunshade announced on Aug. 7 it was investing $1.2 million to establish the U.S. subsidiary “Yuma Texas” and build a 2,200 square-meter warehouse. Shanghai-listed Xinquan Automotive Trim said it would invest $4 million into Xinquan America Holdings via a Singapore subsidiary. The company said in a June 7 filing it has established a subsidiary in Texas for the research and development, design, manufacture and sale of auto parts. Yotrio announced on July 26 its subsidiary Lausaint Industrial had established a company in the U.S. for selling outdoor furniture. The filing said the entity, Remode Living, had been incorporated in June in Chino, California, with registered capital of $1,000. In late May, Shanghai-based Hanbell said it was establishing a subsidiary in Georgia with $100 million for selling its vacuum pump products in the U.S. The Taiwan-invested company is listed in Shenzhen. Those are just a few of more than 30 such filings so far this year for declarations of U.S.-related overseas business establishments, according to a screen using Wind Information of mainland China-listed stocks accessible via Hong Kong’s Shenzhen and Shanghai stock connect programs. There were just over 50 such filings in 2023. BCA Research cautioned that as Harris is surging in polls, it’s certainly not a given that Trump will win the U.S. presidential election in the fall. “Should investors buy or sell anything? No. Not yet. Wait for the trade war hysteria to set in with Trump back in power and fade all ‘Trump trades’ related to the trade war,” the report said. “In particular, we would fade any appreciation in small caps and the USD induced by the restart of the trade war.” Harris is due to speak at the Democratic National Convention on Thursday night, following Tim Walz on Wednesday, according to NBC News . Studies of Chinese companies also point to an inclination to invest in the U.S. An annual survey this spring by the China General Chamber of Commerce in the U.S. found about 30% of respondents plan to increase investment . Nearly 60% of companies aim keep investment stable, the report said. Chinese companies’ interest in expanding overseas has accelerated since the pandemic as growth slowed domestically. Electric car companies such as BYD are also opening factories in Europe and Southeast Asia as the European Union and U.S. ramp up tariffs on Chinese electric car imports. More than 80% of Chinese companies surveyed by the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade chose to maintain or increase their outbound investment in 2023 — nearly 10 percentage points higher than in 2022, Oxford Economics said in an Aug. 12 report. “Top sectors that received Chinese investment have shifted from tertiary to manufacturing industries,” the report said. “Interestingly, while Chinese companies have become more active in expanding business in ASEAN countries, they tend to maintain their presence in the West, suggesting the ‘ASEAN+1’ strategy may have increased.” Even in the U.S, where new investment from China has fallen sharply, the report said that “Chinese companies have not materially withdrawn from the US market either.” — CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed to this report.

Hot Take: The Changing Landscape of U.S.-China Investments

As Chinese companies increasingly look towards the U.S. market for investment opportunities, the dynamics of global trade and foreign direct investment are undergoing a significant shift. The evolving relationship between the two economic giants is likely to shape future investment patterns and business strategies. While uncertainties remain, the trend towards overseas investments by Chinese firms signifies a broader strategic realignment in response to changing geopolitical and economic realities. The coming months are poised to be crucial in determining the impact of these investments on the global business landscape.

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Investments in the U.S. are already being made by Chinese companies, anticipating Trump tariffs. 😉