Recent Developments on Ethereum Spot ETFs and SEC Decisions
This year, the SEC has chosen to delay its decision regarding the requests for options on spot Ethereum (ETH) ETFs in the United States until mid-November. This postponement aligns with regulatory practices, as the SEC frequently takes considerable time to thoroughly review such requests.
Understanding Ethereum (ETH) Spot ETFs and SEC’s Role
Back in May, the SEC approved the launch of ETFs based on spot Ethereum (ETH) in the United States. However, these products only became actively tradable at the end of July, marking a brief period of slightly over two months that they have been available to investors.
Despite a few companies having submitted applications to issue options on these ETFs, such options currently remain unavailable. These options could provide investors with an instrument for reducing risk.
Options grant the investor the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell at a predetermined price by a specific date. For instance, if Ethereum’s price were to decrease, an investor could mitigate potential losses by purchasing put options corresponding to the original purchase price or higher.
Current Trends at the SEC Concerning Crypto Requests
At this juncture, it appears improbable that the SEC will deny the existing requests for these options. Initially, in May, many anticipated a rejection for the Ethereum spot ETF, yet this did not occur, potentially due to external influences related to upcoming elections.
The conditions surrounding these applications seem unchanged, leading to the speculation that the SEC may be favorably inclined toward approving both bullish and bearish options related to spot crypto ETFs.
The SEC provided justification for its decision to delay in a recently released document. According to the agency, it is required to respond within 45 days from the request submission, a deadline that concluded on September 26. Since there is an option to extend this period by another 45 days, the SEC opted for a delay.
Theoretically, this postponement might be the only extension allowed, as the law mandates that a final resolution must be reached within 90 days. Consequently, the ultimate decision is expected around November 10.
Analyzing the Performance of Spot Ethereum (ETH) ETFs
Unfortunately, the newly launched ETH spot ETFs in the US stock markets haven’t garnered significant interest. Since their introduction, these ETFs have witnessed cumulative outflows amounting to $580 million.
A contributing factor might be the presence of the Grayscale ETHE, which existed in a different form for years prior. Initially, this fund struggled to liquidate excess Ethereum as collateral efficiently. However, following its transition to an ETF in July, it managed to liquidate nearly $2.9 billion of its excess Ethereum holdings, only partially compensated by other ETFs.
More than two months after the introduction of these ETH spot ETFs, a worrying trend persists, as they continue to register substantial overall outflows. In comparison, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw their outflows stabilize within a month after they launched, while the ETH ETFs remain in a challenging position.
Despite a concerning trend earlier in the month, there has been a glimmer of improvement since September 19. The recent week showed only one day of notable outflows, alongside a remarkably neutral balance on another day, two days with slight inflows, and one day reflecting strong positive outcomes. This change marks a shift from the previous week’s trends.
Ethereum Price Trends
The price of Ethereum has also felt the effects of these turbulent market conditions, plummeting from approximately $3,100 at the end of July to around $2,600 currently.
Notably, Ethereum’s value in relation to Bitcoin has also diminished, transitioning from 0.05 BTC in late July to approximately 0.04 BTC at present. Generally, the movement of altcoin prices is influenced by Bitcoin; however, this situation demonstrates a significant deviation.
It is important to highlight that the primary depreciation of Ethereum transpired in August, reaching its lowest point on September 6, when prices dipped to around $2,200. Since September 19, this negative momentum appears to have reversed, evidenced by a modest recovery in Ethereum’s value against Bitcoin, moving from 0.038 BTC to nearly 0.041 BTC.
In summary, while the SEC’s delay may cause uncertainty in the crypto market, recent trends show slight improvements in inflows and a reversal in price direction, hinting that market dynamics might be shifting toward a more stable future.
Sources:
SEC Document