Ether Futures Catch Up to Bitcoin on CME
According to a report by K33 Research, ether futures premiums on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) are now trading at the same level as bitcoin futures for the first time since August. This indicates a shift in sentiment towards ether, with traders becoming less inclined to hedge their bitcoin exposure with ether. The report suggests that this could lead to a recovery in ether’s strength relative to bitcoin, especially as the ETHBTC ratio has reached its lowest point since July 2022.
Optimistic Outlook with Bitcoin Above $34,000
The recent price rally of bitcoin, which has risen 4% over the past week and remains above $34,000, has contributed to a more positive outlook in the derivatives markets. Traders on the CME have shown strong conviction in bitcoin, maintaining high exposure and double-digit futures premiums. This reflects robust institutional demand and a bullish sentiment going into November.
In offshore perpetual markets, there has been a shift from a bearish to a neutral outlook. With bitcoin reaching yearly highs, the inclination to short-sell has decreased while the willingness to go long has increased. This is evidenced by the longest streak of neutral funding rates in the past week since early February. Although open interest has slightly increased, leveraged exposure remains modest, indicating a moderate to low risk of liquidation squeezes in the near term.
The Growing Importance of Options Market
Options traders are also maintaining a bullish stance in line with the overall derivatives sentiment. The increase in implied volatility after recent price movements suggests that volatility strategies in options trading have become more expensive. The upward trend in options open interest throughout 2023 compared to declines in other derivatives markets highlights their increasing role in bitcoin’s price discovery.
However, despite these positive developments in the derivatives market, there is no strong indication of a consistent increase in spot volumes. The market continues to react dynamically to price movements, with volumes spiking during active trading periods and then settling back down.
Hot Take: Derivatives Market Reflects Growing Confidence in Ether and Bitcoin
The convergence of ether futures premiums with bitcoin futures on the CME signifies a shift in sentiment towards ether, indicating renewed optimism in its future prospects. This is further supported by the positive outlook in the derivatives markets, with strong conviction in bitcoin and a shift towards a neutral stance in offshore perpetual markets. The options market also reflects a bullish sentiment and plays an increasingly important role in bitcoin’s price discovery. While spot volumes remain dynamic, these trends suggest growing confidence in both ether and bitcoin among traders and investors.
By
By
By
By