Analyzing the Derivatives Market and Bitcoin Rally, Predicts Record 2021 Performance

Analyzing the Derivatives Market and Bitcoin Rally, Predicts Record 2021 Performance


Renewed Enthusiasm in Bitcoin (BTC) Derivatives Market

If you’ve been keeping an eye on the digital currency market, you might have noticed a surge in Bitcoin (BTC) derivatives activity that’s reminiscent of late 2021. This uptick in activity has sparked renewed enthusiasm between traders, pointing to a probable recovery of speculative interest in Bitcoin. The expense of perpetual futures trades and increasing options open interest are just some of the factors contributing to this renewed interest in the digital currency. This surge in activity comes as Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a whole lot of price recovery in the year, with its price more than doubling after a tumultuous 2022.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Options Open Interest Hits New All-Time High

According to Bloomberg, the heightened attention around the  capacity approval of the first United States spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has contributed to the surge in derivatives activity. The anticipation of these ETFs being approved is expected to attract a broader range of investors to the asset, leading to increased demand and riskier trading strategies. The largest cryptocurrency options exchange, Deribit, reported a record notional value of approximately $14.9 Billion in Bitcoin (BTC) options open interest earlier this coming week, surpassing the previous high set in 2021. This indicates a strong demand for cryptocurrency call options and probable leveraged positions speculating on a probable breakout beyond $100,000.

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Insights From Futures And Options Charts

Perpetual futures, which have no set expiry date, are trending Bitcoin derivatives. The funding rate for these futures tends to be positive during positive trend periods, and the rolling seven-day average funding rate closely resembles levels seen in late 2021 when Bitcoin (BTC) was surging to its peak. Bitcoin (BTC) futures curves provide insights into price outlooks, with the entire curve based on Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group contracts shifting upward compared to a 30 days ago. In addition, data from Deribit outlines a predominance of positive trend options bets on BTC, reaching $40,000 and even $45,000 by the end of December.

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Hot Take: Bitcoin’s Ongoing Rally and Market Sentiment

The surge in Bitcoin (BTC) derivatives activity and the growing interest in options and perpetual futures indicate a renewed positive trend sentiment between traders. As Bitcoin (BTC) approaches key resistance levels, market participants eagerly watch for further developments, with $40,000 seen as a critical juncture in the ongoing rally. The  capacity approval of United States spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs has undoubtedly contributed to the heightened enthusiasm in the market, with numerous eyes focused on the cryptocurrency’s price movements and derivatives activity.

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Bitro Conwell stands as an intellectual architect, weaving together the roles of crypto analyst, meticulous researcher, and editorial virtuoso with finesse. Amidst the digital intricacies of cryptocurrencies, Bitro’s insights resonate harmoniously with seekers of all stripes, showcasing a profound understanding. His ability to untangle the most complex threads within the crypto landscape seamlessly pairs his their editorial finesse, transforming intricacy into an artful tapestry of comprehension.

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