Bitcoin Miners Under Pressure to Sell, Is BTC Price Retracement Below $50K Imminent?
Bitcoin price has surged 25% since the spot Bitcoin ETF launch in the United States and significant Bitcoin accumulation by large whales in 2024. Given the low BTC supply coupled with rising mining difficulty situation, an increase in block size could potentially add pressure on miners to sell their holdings.
Bitcoin Block Size Increase and Its Impact on Miners
Bitcoin block size has increased by about 40-50% amid a rise in Bitcoin network activity due to BTC’s recent rally, as per a CryptoQuant-verified analyst. Typically, Ordinals increase block size that often leads to an increase in fees. However, there is no significant increase in fees, which means the increase in block size is due to high volume of BTC buying or selling.
Mining Difficulty and Mining Competition
While mining difficulty and block size are different concepts, an increase in block size indirectly affects mining competition as miners spend more time transmitting over the network. Bitcoin mining difficulty hits 81.73T, with network hashrate nearly doubled in the last 12 months going from 303 EH/s to an average of 577 EH/s, as per BTC.com data.
Increased Selling Pressure from Miners
The increase in block size amid rising mining difficulty and BTC price can add pressure on miners to sell their BTC holdings. Notably, the Bitcoin Miners’ Position Index (MPI) is also indicating elevated selling pressure from miners, raising concerns among analysts and investors. Historically, BTC price witnessed correction when MPI was high and miners reserve also fell.
Declining Miner Reserve and Exchange Reserves
Currently, the miner reserve has declined to 3-year low amid massive demand from spot Bitcoin ETFs and the market. The exchange reserves are also on the brink of dropping below 2 million BTC, a key level maintained until November-end.
Bitcoin Price Outlook
BTC price fell slightly in the last few hours, with the price currently trading at $51,640. The 24-hour low and high are $51,641 and $52,537, respectively. Furthermore, the trading volume has decreased further by 30% in the last 24 hours, indicating a decline in interest among traders. Analysts such as Ali Martinez predicted a downslide in the next few days.
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