Bitcoin Miners Facing Sell-off as Capitulation Continues
Bitcoin miners are currently experiencing an extended period of selling off their holdings, a trend not seen since 2017, according to on-chain data. As the market enters its 33rd day of miner capitulation, the situation appears to be following a historical pattern that typically lasts around 41 days on average.
The Effect of Miner Capitulation
– Miner capitulation refers to the scenario where Bitcoin miners are compelled to power down their mining equipment or offload their BTC holdings to survive, indicating that their current business operations are unprofitable.
– The hash rate has decreased by more than 12% from its peak on May 26, with the next difficulty adjustment set for June 20 expected to show a slight positive change, with this information sourced from Newhedge data.
Challenges Facing Miners
– The recent Bitcoin halving in April posed a significant obstacle to miner profits, cutting the fixed Bitcoin block subsidy from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block. Consequently, the baseline average daily revenue for the mining industry has plummeted from approximately 900 BTC to 450 BTC since April 19.
– Network fees remain a revenue source for mining firms, albeit minimal, with the post-halving decline quickly becoming evident. Consequently, the mining sector has become fiercely competitive, requiring only the most efficient facilities to maintain profitability.
Selling Trends Among Miners
– Over the last month, more than 3000 BTC has been transferred from Bitcoin miner addresses, according to Glassnode data. This timeframe continues a trend of net outflows by miners since October 2023, with a total of 30,000 BTC sold by miners during this period.
– This selling spree marks the most prolonged distribution phase for miners since 2017, further adding to their existing challenges in the market.
Identifying the Miners Involved
– Despite assumptions that large, publicly traded mining companies would weather the halving-induced storm efficiently, on-chain data suggests that even these industry giants are offloading their Bitcoin holdings as profit margins tighten.
– In a recent research report, CryptoQuant revealed that miners had already sold 1200 BTC in over-the-counter trades, with a significant portion of these transactions initiated by Marathon Digital, the leading publicly traded miner.
Sources
If you wish to read more about the data referenced in this article, you can check out the following sources:
– Research Note by James Van Stretton
– Glassnode Data on Miner Outflows
Hot Take: Summary for Crypto Enthusiasts 🌟
As a crypto enthusiast, it’s crucial to keep an eye on the ongoing miner capitulation in the Bitcoin market. The current sell-off trend among miners, driven by decreased profitability post-halving, poses challenges to the industry at large. Understanding the dynamics of miner behavior and its impact on the market can provide valuable insights for navigating the crypto landscape in the coming days.
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