The Surge in Bitcoin Open Interest Signals Bullish Price Movement
The price of Bitcoin has recently experienced a significant increase, reaching levels seen earlier this year. Interestingly, along with the rise in price, the open interest of BTC has also witnessed substantial growth.
Bitcoin Open Interest Reaches $12 Billion
Recent on-chain data reveals that the open interest of Bitcoin has been rapidly increasing across various exchanges, aligning with the recent price surge. Open interest refers to the amount of money invested in BTC derivatives at any given time.
Data from CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin’s open interest has surpassed $11.68 billion, representing its highest value since May 2022. This notable increase coincides with the collapse of the Terra Luna ecosystem.
Analyzing the Impact on BTC Price
A pseudonymous analyst explained in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post how the surge in open interest could affect the price of Bitcoin. While acknowledging that it may suggest a short-term overheated level, they pointed out that the current funding rate contradicts this argument.
The funding rate, which ensures contract prices remain close to the spot price, is positive but not indicative of significant overheating. The analyst compared it to the steady rally observed in October-November 2023, suggesting a balanced ratio between long and short-position investors.
Potential Risks: Long Squeeze and Price Decline
The CryptoQuant analyst cautioned that a sudden spike in the Bitcoin funding rate to as high as 0.05 could trigger a long squeeze. This occurs when long traders are forced to sell their positions to cover losses, resulting in a sharp decline in price.
Positive Implications for BTC Price
Rising open interest is generally viewed as a positive development for Bitcoin’s price, as historical patterns indicate that BTC tends to move in the same direction as its open interest.
Current BTC Price
As of now, the price of Bitcoin stands just above $47,200, representing a 4% increase in the past day.
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
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