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Bloomberg Analyst Predicts 70% Probability of Coinbase's Success in SEC Lawsuit

Bloomberg Analyst Predicts 70% Probability of Coinbase’s Success in SEC Lawsuit

Is Coinbase Winning the Lawsuit Against the SEC?

What sets apart a security from a collectible? This question lies at the center of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) lawsuit against Coinbase. The SEC accuses the company of selling unregistered securities and operating an unlicensed staking-as-a-service program. However, during the court hearing, New York District Judge Katherine Polk Failla raised doubts about the SEC’s broad definition of collectibles.

Bloomberg analyst Elliott Stein suggests that Coinbase currently has an advantage in the case. He notes that Judge Failla sought a limiting principle to the SEC’s definition of an “investment contract” that wouldn’t encompass collectibles. Coinbase argued that not all cryptocurrency purchases constitute investment contracts, comparing it to buying Beanie Babies rather than investing in Beanie Baby Inc.

The judge did not provide an immediate ruling, stating she needed more time to consider the matter. If Coinbase’s motion is dismissed, the case will proceed to discovery. Despite potential outcomes, Stein believes that Coinbase has a 70% chance of eventually defeating the SEC. He also speculates that even if the case continues, it may reach the Supreme Court and lead to a narrowing of the standard for deeming assets as securities under U.S. law.

Hot Take: Coinbase’s Edge in the Lawsuit

Amidst its legal battle with the SEC, Coinbase seems to have an advantage based on recent court proceedings. The judge’s skepticism towards the SEC’s broad definition of collectibles and questions about whether cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin constitute an “ecosystem” may work in Coinbase’s favor. While no ruling has been made yet, Bloomberg analyst Elliott Stein predicts that Coinbase has a 70% chance of ultimately prevailing over the SEC. This case could potentially shape future regulations regarding investment contracts and redefine what qualifies as a security in the cryptocurrency industry.

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Bloomberg Analyst Predicts 70% Probability of Coinbase's Success in SEC Lawsuit