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Is the Bitcoin NVT Surge a Sign of Bonanza or Bust, Causing Mania Fears?

Is the Bitcoin NVT Surge a Sign of Bonanza or Bust, Causing Mania Fears?

The Network Value to Transactions Ratio for Bitcoin Reaches 5-Year High

The network value to transactions (NVT) ratio for Bitcoin has reached its highest level in five years, hitting 1,779.542 on Oct. 31st, according to data from Glassnode.

Understanding the NVT Ratio

The NVT ratio is used to evaluate whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued. Similar to the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio used in stock markets, the NVT ratio compares Bitcoin’s market valuation to the value transmitted through its payment network.

Implications of a High NVT Ratio

A high NVT ratio suggests that Bitcoin’s market valuation exceeds the value transmitted through its payment network. This can happen due to high growth and investor perception of it as a high-return investment or if prices are in an unsustainable bubble.

Calculating the NVT Ratio

The NVT ratio is calculated by dividing Bitcoin’s market capitalization by the daily volume transmitted through the blockchain. A higher ratio indicates potential overvaluation based on transaction activity.

Strong Holder Conviction and Bullish Sentiment

In addition to the rising NVT ratio, Glassnode data shows that the amount of Bitcoin held or lost long-term has also reached a 5-year high. This demonstrates strong holder conviction and belief in Bitcoin’s long-term potential.

Rapid Growth and Potential Correction

The combination of an elevated NVT ratio and a rise in long-term held coins indicates extremely bullish sentiment around Bitcoin. While a correction may occur at some point, the network continues to experience rapid growth.

Hot Take: The Rising NVT Ratio Suggests Overvaluation and Bullish Sentiment

The network value to transactions (NVT) ratio for Bitcoin has reached its highest level in five years, indicating potential overvaluation. This, along with the increase in long-term held coins, highlights the strong belief in Bitcoin’s future. However, it is important to note that a correction is likely at some point. Despite this, the network’s growth remains robust, reflecting the ongoing bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin.

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Is the Bitcoin NVT Surge a Sign of Bonanza or Bust, Causing Mania Fears?