Luke Gromen Predicts US Government Will Print Money to Avoid Crisis
Luke Gromen, a seasoned macro analyst, warns that the United States is approaching a critical decision point where it must choose between expanding the money supply or defaulting on its debt. With over twenty years of industry experience and a reputation for his comprehensive understanding of the macroeconomic landscape, Gromen is highly regarded in global financial research.
Expert in Global Financial Research
Gromen founded FFTT, LLC in 2014 to provide investors with an unconventional synthesis of macroeconomic and sector trends. His ability to connect isolated industry events allows him to identify nascent investment opportunities. With previous roles at Cleveland Research Company and Midwest Research, Gromen has honed his equity research and sales skills.
US Government’s Dilemma
Gromen explains during an interview on the “What Bitcoin Did” podcast that the US government will likely resort to quantitative easing (QE) as a solution to reduced productivity and escalating costs. He dismisses the idea of balancing the budget by cutting entitlements or defense spending due to political and practical constraints. Consequently, he believes printing money through QE is the only viable option.
Implications of Money Printing
Gromen acknowledges that printing money may lead to significant inflation similar to countries like Argentina. However, he suggests that the political landscape and the sacrosanct nature of defense spending make it unlikely for entitlements or defense budgets to be cut. The consequences of such actions could impact economic conditions and asset growth.
Potential Asset Growth in a QE Environment
In a separate interview on the Blockworks Macro YouTube channel, Gromen mentions that continued QE and potential shifts in Federal Reserve policies could create an environment conducive to the growth of certain assets. He specifically highlights gold, oil, and Bitcoin (BTC) as potential beneficiaries in such a financial landscape.
Hot Take: US Government Faces Choice Between Money Printing and Default
Luke Gromen, a renowned macro analyst, warns that the US government is rapidly approaching a critical decision point. With limited options available, the government must choose between expanding the money supply through quantitative easing (QE) or facing default on its debt. Gromen argues that cutting entitlements or defense spending is politically and practically implausible, leaving money printing as the only viable alternative. However, this approach carries the risk of significant inflation similar to countries like Argentina. Gromen’s insights shed light on the challenges faced by the US government in maintaining fiscal stability.