Did Chainlink’s (LINK) 35% Surge Result from a “Buy on Rumor, Sell the News” Phenomenon?

Did Chainlink's (LINK) 35% Surge Result from a "Buy on Rumor, Sell the News" Phenomenon?


Chainlink (LINK) Price Performance and Concerns

Since September, Chainlink (LINK) has outperformed Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and most altcoins, gaining more than 25% in price. It currently holds the top spot as the leading decentralized blockchain oracle solution and ranks 15th in market capitalization, excluding stablecoins.

In September, LINK experienced an impressive surge of 35.5% in price. However, in October, it faced a 10% correction, causing concerns among investors. Breaking the support level of $7.20 could potentially lead to further downward pressure and erase the gains from the previous month.

Although LINK reached its highest point in over 10 weeks with a closing price of $8.21 on Sept. 30, it is still significantly below its all-time high in May 2021 by 86%. In contrast, Ether (ETH) has shown growth of 21.5% over the past year.

SWIFT Experiment Boosts LINK

The bull run for LINK began after SWIFT released a report titled “Connecting Blockchains: Overcoming Fragmentation in Tokenized Assets” on Sept. 31. The report suggested that linking existing systems to blockchains is more feasible than unifying different central bank digital currencies (CBDC).

SWIFT conducted tests using Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), which proved successful in providing a single access point to multiple networks using existing infrastructure. This system could significantly reduce operational costs and challenges for institutions supporting tokenized assets.

Additionally, ANZ successfully tested Chainlink’s CCIP solution for their Australian dollar stablecoin, describing it as a “milestone” moment for the bank. This achievement demonstrated the potential value of tokenizing real-world assets and could revolutionize the banking industry.

Chainlink also launched the CCIP protocol on Ethereum layer-2 protocol Arbitrum One, enabling cross-chain decentralized application development. This integration provides access to Arbitrum’s high-throughput, low-cost scaling solution.

Concerns Over Changes to Chainlink’s Multisig and Protocol Fees

A disruption occurred on Sept. 24 when a user criticized Chainlink for reducing the number of approvals required on its multi-signature wallet. The previous security measure required four out of nine signatures to authorize a transaction. Chainlink responded by explaining that it was part of a regular signer rotation process, but concerns remained about potential risks if signers were to go rogue.

Another concern arises from the decline in Chainlink’s protocol revenue generated by its price feeds. In September, the revenue dropped by 57% compared to May. While part of this decline can be attributed to Ethereum’s decreasing total value locked (TVL), questions about Chainlink’s revenue model sustainability arise.

Can LINK Maintain Support Level and Market Capitalization?

Chainlink offers various services beyond price feed generation and operates on multiple chains, including CCIP. However, Ethereum’s oracle pricing services remain the core of its business. Compared to Uniswap, the leading decentralized exchange, Chainlink has a higher market capitalization but generates lower fees.

With concerns over its support level and market capitalization sustainability, investors may question LINK’s future performance.

Hot Take: Challenges Ahead for Chainlink

While Chainlink has experienced significant price gains in recent months and achieved notable milestones through partnerships and integrations, there are challenges that lie ahead. The correction in October raises concerns about potential downward pressure, erasing previous gains. Additionally, changes to Chainlink’s multisig and declining protocol fees have raised doubts about its security measures and revenue model sustainability.

As investors evaluate the future of Chainlink, maintaining the support level and market capitalization will be crucial for its success. The competition in the decentralized finance space, particularly from platforms like Uniswap, adds further complexity to Chainlink’s position. It remains to be seen how Chainlink will navigate these challenges and continue to innovate in the blockchain oracle solution space.

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Source: [Chainlink’s LINK Outperforms Bitcoin, Ethereum as Concerns Arise](https://cointelegraph.com/news/chainlink-s-link-outperforms-bitcoinethereum-as-concerns-arise)

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