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crypto market prediction

Cboe’s S&P 500 prediction markets could siphon $2B from crypto volatility products

Ethan Glober7 days ago6 min read

Cboe prediction markets may pressure crypto volatility products Cboe’s planned S&P 500 prediction markets and new Bitcoin volatility tools have put a fresh spotlight on whether…

CFTC‑NHL MOU reveals prediction market capture – not crypto regulatory clarity

Demian Crypter1 month ago7 min read

CFTC-NHL MOU extends prediction market oversight The Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the National Hockey League on Thursday signed a memorandum of understanding to share information…

CFTC prediction-market relief coincides with crypto derivatives OI hitting 14-month high

Owen Patter1 month ago7 min read

CFTC relief lands as crypto derivatives OI hits 14-month high The CFTC this week moved to ease reporting burdens for prediction markets just as crypto derivatives…

SEC delays prediction market ETF yet crypto OI climbs – suggests derivatives positioning ahead of macro catalyst

Coinan Porter2 months ago7 min read

SEC Delays Prediction Market ETFs Amid Regulatory Clarity Push The Securities and Exchange Commission has delayed the launch of 24 prediction market exchange-traded funds just days…

Prediction markets become news-tracking tools, while US GDP data contradicts market bets – a new signal for crypto?

Cino Gaperi2 months ago5 min read

Prediction Markets Track News, Miss on GDP Data Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets delivered real-time probabilities on US economic data this week, but actual GDP figures…

Prediction market volume hits $25.7B amid Iran tensions, but crypto chatter fades – is real‑world hedging the driver?

Leo Nomist2 months ago4 min read

Prediction Markets Hit $25.7B Volume in March Amid Iran Tensions Prediction markets logged $25.7 billion in notional volume last month, their second-highest monthly total on record,…

NY Prediction Market Lawsuit Opens Kalshi Crypto Perpetuals Entry

Cindy Dutta2 months ago7 min read

NY Prediction Market Lawsuit Targets Coinbase, Gemini New York Attorney General’s office filed a lawsuit against Coinbase and Gemini’s prediction market operations on Tuesday, escalating regulatory…

Iran Crypto Demand Surfaces as Prediction Markets Clock Ceasefire Odds

Cindy Dutta3 months ago8 min read

Iran Ceasefire Bets Spike Polymarket Volumes Prediction markets like Polymarket saw sharp activity on US-Iran ceasefire odds, with multiple new accounts placing $70,000 bets that drove…

Could Prediction Market Bans and Insider Trading Orders Curb Crypto Innovation

Insa Monroe3 months ago15 min read

Prediction Markets, Insider Trading Crackdowns, and the Crypto Regulation Paradox: Will Compliance Kill Innovation or Save It? The prediction market boom that emerged as the world’s…

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