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Polymarket

ECB delays rate cuts to 2026 while crypto prices surge – a monetary policy divergence emerges

Daniel Lycon2 months ago5 min read

ECB Holds Rates Steady as Crypto Surges Amid Inflation Fears European Central Bank policymakers kept key interest rates unchanged on March 19, 2026, signaling no cuts…

Prediction markets become news-tracking tools, while US GDP data contradicts market bets – a new signal for crypto?

Cino Gaperi2 months ago5 min read

Prediction Markets Track News, Miss on GDP Data Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets delivered real-time probabilities on US economic data this week, but actual GDP figures…

A16z sides with CFTC against states, yet prediction markets ditch ‘casino’ label – signals a regulatory pivot

Fin Boldom2 months ago5 min read

a16z Backs CFTC Against State Prediction Market Bans Andreessen Horowitz filed an 18-page comment letter with the CFTC on April 30, 2026, supporting federal oversight of…

DeFi hacks persist despite $292M in losses – suggests security solutions lagging

Insa Monroe2 months ago6 min read

Kelp DAO $292M Hack Tops 2026 DeFi Losses at $750M+ Kelp DAO suffered a $292 million exploit on April 19, 2026, marking the year’s largest DeFi…

Bitcoin’s price nears $78k while new quantum security proposals emerge – infrastructure races to keep pace

Nathan Coben2 months ago6 min read

Bitcoin Nears $78K Amid Quantum Security Push Bitcoin traded near $78,000 on May 2, 2026, marking its fourth straight weekly gain as spot ETFs drew fresh…

BTC price shrugs off $111 oil & hawkish Fed, yet OI shows risk aversion

Cora Skindell2 months ago4 min read

BTC Price Shrugs Off $111 Oil & Hawkish Fed, Yet OI Shows Risk Aversion Bitcoin held above $77,000 on Thursday despite Brent crude surging past $111…

Prediction market volume hits $25.7B amid Iran tensions, but crypto chatter fades – is real‑world hedging the driver?

Leo Nomist2 months ago4 min read

Prediction Markets Hit $25.7B Volume in March Amid Iran Tensions Prediction markets logged $25.7 billion in notional volume last month, their second-highest monthly total on record,…

Polymarket’s $25.7B retail volume surge yet under 1% of wallets take half the profits

Cino Gaperi2 months ago4 min read

Polymarket Hits $25.7B Volume as <1% Wallets Claim Half Profits Prediction markets logged $25.7 billion in monthly volume for March 2026, led by Polymarket’s on-chain surge,…

CFTC’s Selig endorses prediction markets, yet regulatory path unclear

Blair Connolly2 months ago6 min read

CFTC’s Selig Endorses Prediction Markets, Regulatory Path Unclear CFTC Chairman Michael S. Selig announced plans on January 29, 2026, to withdraw a 2024 proposed rule prohibiting…

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