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Polymarket Israel‑Hezbollah bets surge 300% – but oracle risk premium remains near all‑time lows

Cabel Dioli1 month ago7 min read

Polymarket Israel-Hezbollah bets surge as odds stay tight Polymarket’s Israel-Hezbollah market has seen a sharp pickup in trading, but the pricing still points to a cautious…

CFTC nomination push seeks CLARITY Act structural shift ahead of vote

Cindy Dutta1 month ago7 min read

CFTC Nomination Push Raises Stakes for CLARITY Act Vote The Senate’s CFTC nomination push has sharpened attention on the CLARITY Act this week, as lawmakers weigh…

Prediction markets get regulatory relief. Nobody noticed the CFTC’s subtle tightening

Owen Patter1 month ago5 min read

Prediction markets get CFTC relief as legal fights widen The Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Wednesday eased reporting requirements for fully collateralized prediction markets, issuing no-action…

Gemini’s 42% revenue growth shows diversification paying off

Gapster Innes1 month ago5 min read

Gemini shares jump on 42% revenue growth, prediction market lift Gemini shares rose as much as 30% in after-hours trading on Thursday after the crypto exchange…

Crypto’s regulatory tailwinds are overstated. Hidden positioning shows rate sensitivity

Althea Burnett1 month ago8 min read

Crypto regulatory tailwinds lose force as rates stay in focus Crypto’s regulatory tailwinds are proving less potent for prices than many investors hoped, as markets increasingly…

CFTC prediction-market relief coincides with crypto derivatives OI hitting 14-month high

Owen Patter1 month ago7 min read

CFTC relief lands as crypto derivatives OI hits 14-month high The CFTC this week moved to ease reporting burdens for prediction markets just as crypto derivatives…

Bullish Q1 revenue misses estimates as crypto spot trading volume drops 40%

Benito Cormi1 month ago6 min read

Bullish Q1 Revenue Misses as Crypto Trading Volumes Collapse Bullish reported first-quarter adjusted revenue of $92.8 million, falling short of analyst expectations of $94.9 million, marking…

Bitcoin rises 5% yet open interest declines – suggests hedged positioning

Blair Connolly1 month ago5 min read

Bitcoin Rises 5% as Open Interest Declines Bitcoin surged 5% on Monday, climbing above $69,000 from weekend lows near $63,000, amid Middle East tensions and shifting…

SEC delays prediction market ETF yet crypto OI climbs – suggests derivatives positioning ahead of macro catalyst

Coinan Porter1 month ago7 min read

SEC Delays Prediction Market ETFs Amid Regulatory Clarity Push The Securities and Exchange Commission has delayed the launch of 24 prediction market exchange-traded funds just days…

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