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Prediction markets become news-tracking tools, while US GDP data contradicts market bets – a new signal for crypto?

Cino Gaperi2 months ago5 min read

Prediction Markets Track News, Miss on GDP Data Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets delivered real-time probabilities on US economic data this week, but actual GDP figures…

A16z sides with CFTC against states, yet prediction markets ditch ‘casino’ label – signals a regulatory pivot

Fin Boldom2 months ago5 min read

a16z Backs CFTC Against State Prediction Market Bans Andreessen Horowitz filed an 18-page comment letter with the CFTC on April 30, 2026, supporting federal oversight of…

Bitcoin up 12% in April but ETF inflows slow – suggests rally driven by spot, not futures

Leo Nomist2 months ago6 min read

Bitcoin Gains 12% in April Amid Slow ETF Inflows Bitcoin ended April 2026 with a 12.07% monthly gain, its best performance of the year, reversing earlier…

Bitcoin’s price nears $78k while new quantum security proposals emerge – infrastructure races to keep pace

Nathan Coben2 months ago6 min read

Bitcoin Nears $78K Amid Quantum Security Push Bitcoin traded near $78,000 on May 2, 2026, marking its fourth straight weekly gain as spot ETFs drew fresh…

Bitcoin’s rally to $77k pressures shorts, yet absent spot leverage caps upside – suggests fragile momentum

Althea Burnett2 months ago7 min read

Bitcoin Rally to $77K Stalls as Supply Wall Blocks Shorts Squeeze Bitcoin surged past $77,000 this week, triggering roughly $585 million in short liquidations, yet momentum…

Ripple CEO sees ‘all roads lead to XRP’ while AI predicts distant prices – conviction vs algorithmic uncertainty

Bernard Nicolai2 months ago4 min read

Garlinghouse’s Five-Year XRP Bet: Institutional Adoption Over Price Action Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse told investors to expect significant returns within five years, pivoting focus away from…

BLEND rockets 120% on Upbit, but ETH’s price action lags – L2 narrative outpacing mainnet reality

Demian Crypter2 months ago4 min read

BLEND Rockets 120% on Upbit as ETH Lags Fluent’s BLEND token surged 120% to around $0.20 following its listing on South Korea’s Upbit exchange, outpacing stagnant…

Prediction market volume hits $25.7B amid Iran tensions, but crypto chatter fades – is real‑world hedging the driver?

Leo Nomist2 months ago4 min read

Prediction Markets Hit $25.7B Volume in March Amid Iran Tensions Prediction markets logged $25.7 billion in notional volume last month, their second-highest monthly total on record,…

Polymarket’s $25.7B retail volume surge yet under 1% of wallets take half the profits

Cino Gaperi2 months ago4 min read

Polymarket Hits $25.7B Volume as <1% Wallets Claim Half Profits Prediction markets logged $25.7 billion in monthly volume for March 2026, led by Polymarket’s on-chain surge,…

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