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Will the CLARITY Act Finally Pass? Ripple CEO Sees 90% Success Rate

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The CLARITY Act’s Reality Check: What Actually Happened When Industry Walked AwayCopy

When Momentum Met the Brick WallCopy

Here’s the thing about the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act that nobody was really talking about back in July 2025-it looked unstoppable. The House passed it with overwhelming bipartisan support (294-134 votes), which felt like crypto regulation finally had its moment.[1][2] The bill was supposed to bring order to the regulatory chaos between the SEC and CFTC, creating clear lanes for who oversees what in digital assets. SEC Chair Paul Atkins was all in, testifying that the framework was “necessary to ‘future-proof’ the regulatory structure” rather than relying on guidance.[4]

Then January 2026 hit, and everything changed.

Key TakeawaysCopy

  • The Markup Got Postponed: On January 14, 2026, Senate Banking Committee leadership quietly delayed the markup session with zero new date announced-right when industry leaders publicly withdrew support.[3]
  • The Senate Version Created Friction: While the House bill offered a strong template, the Senate Banking Committee released its own draft in July 2025, which apparently moved in directions that didn’t sit well with major crypto players.[2]
  • It Wasn’t Dead, But It Wasn’t Moving: As of mid-February 2026, the CLARITY Act exists in legislative limbo-neither stalled nor guaranteed, stuck in that phase where every word gets litigated and alliances get tested.[5]

Where the Cracks Actually ShowedCopy

Will the CLARITY Act Finally Pass? Ripple CEO Sees 90% Success Rate

The real story here isn’t about whether the CLARITY Act will pass someday. It’s about what happened when the rubber met the road.

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The bill’s core idea was solid: split responsibilities so the CFTC gets exclusive jurisdiction over digital commodity spot markets, while the SEC keeps oversight of investment contracts.[1][2] For businesses, that theoretically meant easier compliance, less surprise enforcement actions, and more room to innovate.[1] Treasury Secretary even publicly signaled urgency about getting crypto market structure legislation completed this spring, which doesn’t usually happen unless there’s real executive pressure.[5]

But here’s where it gets messy. The Senate’s revised text apparently moved away from things industry wanted, because leading players publicly pulled their support right before the January 15 markup.[3] When major industry participants step back from legislation they’ve been advocating for, that’s not a small signal. That’s a flashing red light.

The tension revolved around regulatory jurisdiction-specifically, how digital assets get classified and which agency supervises them.[5] That boundary determines which rulebook applies to exchanges, issuers, and intermediaries, and shapes enforcement approach for years.[5] You can’t split the difference on something that fundamental. Either the CFTC has exclusive jurisdiction over commodity tokens, or it doesn’t.

There’s also been pushback from state regulators. The North American Securities Administrators Association (NASAA) raised concerns about fundamental inconsistencies in the bill’s asset definitions and worried that the legislation would weaken the investment contract framework that helps regulators protect investors.[6]

The Bigger Picture: Regulation as InfrastructureCopy

What’s actually shifted here isn’t the bill itself-it’s how Washington talks about crypto. The conversation moved from “should digital assets exist?” to “how do we build the plumbing?”[5]

The CLARITY Act represents that transition from interpretive ambiguity to statutory definitions. That requires real durable frameworks, not temporary enforcement strategies.[5] The House delivered that. The Senate’s apparently trying to do the same thing, just with different guardrails.

And SEC Chair Atkins made clear the agency stands ready to implement the CLARITY Act whenever it actually passes, while also saying the SEC and CFTC are coordinating through something called “Project Crypto” to figure out exemptions for on-chain transactions.[4]

What Happens Now?Copy

The legislation isn’t dead. But it’s not humming along either. It’s in that grinding negotiation phase where structure gets debated, language gets tested, and every stakeholder group-state regulators, the industry, the agencies themselves-needs to see their concerns reflected in the final text.[5]

The original timeline was ambitious. Senator Tim Scott wanted market structure legislation advanced by September 30, 2025.[2] That obviously didn’t happen. Treasury’s spring timeline? We’ll see if that holds up once the markup actually restarts.

For now, the CLARITY Act sits as an incomplete puzzle. The House solved its piece. The Senate’s still assembling theirs. And until those fit together, anyone watching digital asset regulation in the US is basically waiting for the next markup date that hasn’t been announced yet.


  1. https://www.avemarialaw.edu/clarity-act/
  2. https://www.lw.com/en/us-crypto-policy-tracker/legislative-developments
  3. https://www.bakermckenzie.com/en/insight/publications/2026/02/us-what-clarity-act-delay-reveals-about-crypto-regulation
  4. https://www.paulhastings.com/insights/crypto-policy-tracker/white-house-hosts-second-crypto-meeting-on-stablecoin-yield-sec-highlights-structure-and-tokenization
  5. https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/293283225770434
  6. https://www.nasaa.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/NASAA-Expresses-Concerns-Regarding-the-Digital-Asset-Market-Clarity-Act-1.13.26-F.pdf

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Will the CLARITY Act Finally Pass? Ripple CEO Sees 90% Success Rate